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New MRP polling has revealed the 18 seats Reform is set to take in the upcoming general election on July 4.

Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, is expected to take over 16 seats won by the Conservatives in the 2019 general election and 2 from Labour.

Pollsters Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now conducted a large-scale poll for GB News using MPR to predict the results of the upcoming election.

They found that Labour is expected to win a majority of 250 seats, while the Conservative Party are likely to lose many of its seats resulting in the Lib Dems becoming the Official Opposition.

The Reform Party will win around 18 seats, including those of Nigel Garage, Richard Tice and Lee Anderson.

Nigel Farage is expected to win the seat in Clacton, previously held by the Conservative Party, with 50 per cent of the votes, while the Conservative candidate will take 21 per cent of the vote and Labour 18 per cent.

In March, Lee Anderson defected to Reform from the Conservatives, becoming the party's first-ever MP.

Anderson is expected to hold onto his seat in Ashfield with 46 per cent of votes.

The previous leader of Reform UK, Richard Tice, is also expected to win the seat in Boston and Skegness in another takeover from the Conservative Party.

The only two constituencies Reform is projected to take over from the Labour Party are Barnsley South and Washington and Gateshead South.

According to the poll, the other seats Reform is expected to win are Broadland and Fakenham, Burton and Uttoxeter, Cannock Chase, Cotswolds North, Fareham and Waterlooville, Gosport, Great Yarmouth, Huntingdon, Louth and Horncastle, Orpington, Plymouth Moor View, Skipton and Ripon, Suffolk South.

Farage's party is also expected to take the second-largest proportion of the vote share in front of the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats.


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The poll projects Labour will take 40 per cent of the vote share followed by Reform with 18 per cent, the Conservative Party with 16 per cent and the Liberal Democrats with 13 per cent.

The Green Party is expected to take 8 per cent of the share and win four seats.

The fieldwork for these results was conducted from June 14 to June 24, with a sample size of over 19,000 people.

The poll used MRP methodology to predict every seat and also prompted respondents with the official list of candidates and parties in their own seat, and asked them to indicate how they would vote at the general election.

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